Disaster update 2024

Sokay, the world has ended, we are doomed and there is no hope. This sounds like the beginning of a rant complete with an absurd proposition to state the case and then demolish it. No. This is the truth: the bad guys won. It's over and it won't be coming back for at least 100 years, if then. I could go on about the fatal flaws of democracy but Plato pointed those flaws out over 2000 years ago. We never listened. I could go on a blameout rage-a-thon against all the groups who, imo, are responsible for this disaster, I know who they are, So do you. It doesn't matter, the die has been cast, the Rubicon crossed, Hell has been entered and there is no return. We are damned.

Sorry to be a spoilsport but sometimes we actually tell the truth no matter how much it hurts, or at least I am compeled to do so by whatever is left of my moral compass.

So what am I saying here? I guess I am saying a kind of farewell to those who are listening still or whomever listened in the first place. My only choice here is to try to find a way to support my family in this future catastrophic world so that they don't starve to death under a bridge. I'm in survival mode without any resources. My recommendation to you all is: go somewhere you think you may be safe, France perhaps, or Brazil, maybe Australia or New Zealand take your family and just get out of here. Your country has left you, you are bereft, betrayed by your fellow citizens and you are very, very vulnerable.

Why am I doing this? Because in my fantasy world some people still hear me and they need to know that I love them and cherish them. Those truehearts who believed in the dream of a strong, caring, honorable and vigilant society which cared for the realities of life and for the dreams we all dared to dream... once upon a time. Good luck to you all and in the sailor's prayer... may you have fair winds and following seas.

CDP

The Problem with Capitalism

As I see it the problem isn't really capitalism but human nature. Capitalism is a known quantity, it's all about greed and greed only. It always devolves to the lowest possible level and recognizes no rules whatsoever. Its structure is pure feudalism and the end result of every transaction is dog-eat-dog and every 'deal' is governed by how much power the parties each have.

Our problem is that we try to smear on morals and ethics to a system that doesn't have any idea what those are. You can have all the 'economic engineering' you want and your lovely scheme will always instantly rot at the seams.

The one and only thing you can do (if you're trying to control the beast) is to set out some ironclad rules for the crazy people - think of them as a bunch of Charles Mansons. Create bonecrushing punishments for transgressing those rules (be sure to make the punishments personal) rigorously enforce those cruel rules... and wait for the inevitable rot that will nibble away at and crumble said rules and enforcement... until you have to start over with new and even more onerous rules and enforcement.

That's the awful truth as the man said. The rest of economic theory is just a bunch of crap based on fairytales about how humans operate.

Gun Control Redux - Part 2

Well this conversation has gone on and I think I'm obliged to post the follow up.
I think I may have lost a friend and I'm very sorry about that. He's a good guy and means well, he's just stuck in a loop imo and can't get out... on the other hand I could just be maligning him unnecessarily.

K:

I don't particularly care about Trump or the Democratic party.

They seem all equally corrupt to me.

But you are totally wrong about gun control.

It is dead.

Ignorant kids can fall for it for awhile, but kids don't vote.

Nor do I think the police or military would actually try to implement the kind of gun control the democrats are pushing.

It is suicide for the whole party, once you go down that road.

Unions, labor, poor people, etc., none of them are going to support gun control to that level.

I lived through 2 students being killed in my senior year, and I can tell you that all the students were very happy there were armed teachers and janitors.  

If modern students don't get it, then they are insane and part of the problem.

You can't possibly make any one safer by disarming the honest people.

Me:

We do disagree a lot but that's OK, I think because we are both looking for the larger truth.

Nobody in this country really cares about the ME or the people in it. If they did we would have been out of there a long time ago as you suggest.

But they DO care about their children and now you are siding with the people who killed their children. Times are changing my friend, the kind of libertarian individualism you espouse is beginning to have the odor of dead fish about it. People who once might have railed against Ruby Ridge and Janet Reno are pretty much over that now and you have Mr Trump to thank for that. You and other old people may see him as a beneficial disruptor but the kids are very much aware that he's pathological liar who cares for no one but himself. He made a Yuuuuge mistake when he started to go after the FBI. He lost the youth (and rightly so). He may well survive on the backs of the white racists he has courted so avidly but the future belongs to the Florida high school kids. I believe the tide has turned. If you want to keep your guns better find a good deep hole to bury them.

Me, again:
Y’know I don’t think you guys have thought this through, any of you.

What do you imagine would happen if your plans for resisting the government actually came to the top of the soup? 

I’ll tell you what would happen:

There are approximately 17,985 state and local police offices in the US employing 765,000 sworn police officers, about 100,000 part time officers and 44, 000 deputies. This doesn’t count the 120,000 full time federal officers (US Marshalls and such).

This is about 1 million police officers… how many people who would willingly pick up their firearms and fire upon the police have you got?

And of course this doesn’t even count the National Guard (remember them? The guardians of the constitution within our borders? Armed with military grade weapons)

Currently the National Guard has about 210,000 active members on duty. You should really have a look at this document in regards to the national guard in case you had any fantasies of various governors rising up to support your insurrection.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Insurrection_Act

And if that was not enough there is the US armed forces which is authorized, on the President’s command, to suppress insurrection and or revolution in the United States and Posse Comitatus be damned.

Btw the US Armed force has about 2,280,000 soldiers

That's about 3,476,000 trained crowd control officers and professional warriors to face your...? What? 100,000 do or die guys? 10,000? Or do think Captain Moroder will save you?

They have howitzers and Bradley fighting vehicles. They have Abrams tanks and LAWS rockets and .50 caliber machine guns and flamethrowers, They have bunker buster bombs and nuclear weapons ferchrisakes.

And what do you have? A bunch of AR-15s and a lot of handguns… are you kidding me?

Use the tools that are available without the patently false bullshit like Scalias twisted interpretation of the 2^nd. Stop with the NRA, they don’t give a shit about you and your individual rights, they are there to promote gun sales. Run as far away from them as you can.

Get together in a real gun rights organization and hire really good lawyers to preserve as much of your rights as you can.

Disabuse yourselves of the notion that you can ‘win’ this fight. The children are really pissed at you, it’s too late. Get used to a lot more strict oversight and monitoring of your gun privileges, if you’re very very smart or have very very smart lawyers, it might be as easy as having a driving license. If you’re intransigent (ie, stupid) it’ll be a lot more like getting an FBI high level security pass… with full body cavity search.

There may be perks with this. I can easily see a Presidential National Emergency directive ordering any criminal and/or gang member/and or ‘raping’ mexicans shot on sight. Trump really likes Duterte… this may be his chance...

Gun Control Redux

I and some friends have had an ongoing - over several years - discussion about guns and gun control.

At one point I even bought a gun to see how I felt about owning one. I didn't feel any increase in godlike power nor did I feel like the world was now my oyster. I didn't feel safer for me or my family nor did I feel any increase in hostility for my fellow man.

I should say that I'm a fair shot with a bow - I can consistently hit a man-sized bale of hay at a distance of 100 yards. I own a couple of knives and I know how to use them. So absent a team of dedicated assassins, I am fairly confident about surviving for the next few years or so.

I have also had a very fast car: E39 M5, supercharged. So I've gotten that out of my system and I have every expectation of continued longevity (my Dad just turned 94 and seems to be in good health).

That all being said, the discussion has continued.

At first it was a bit hot and heavy, then I came to understand that it wasn't a condition that was amenable to discussion or persuasion. Gun owners acted like members of a cult. No amount of logic or reason would ever sway their opinions. Well, I said to myself: "So be it."

The other part of this is... [painful truth ahead, you won't like it but...] there are some 350 million people in this country and some 370 million guns. This means two awful things:

1) You'll never get the guns away from people, there are simply too many of them.

2) It doesn't really matter anyway because: statistically speaking gun deaths are insignificant - too small to matter on the great scales of history.

I know it seems horrible to think that but the numbers don't lie. Gun deaths, whether by cop or suicide or massacre just don't raise a blip compared to how many people there are in this country.

They don't matter.

So why am I raising the matter yet again?

I had another exchange with my group - and I should say that these guys are very open to discussion and are willing to talk and explain and even consider change (sometimes).

I got a statement from one of them and gave him my response: 

K:

You miss the point about gun control.

Sure other there are other countries with much stricter gun control, but they are not committing mass murder like our government did in Iraq, Waco, etc., and they were always somewhat draconian to start with

The US is committing mass murder, torture, and lots of other war crimes.

The US is the most dangerous country in the world right now, and it is attempting to stifle any and all resistance.

So gun control in the US is a far bigger issue than anywhere else in the world.

And yes it is worth killing and dying over I think.

Me:

Ah, but you miss the point. What has been shown time and time again is just how easy it is to commit mass murder with guns... even a child can do it. No one is worried about a G..... or a K... (my friends) going out and mowing down swathes of immigrants or children.

We are all a bit worried about so-called hunters getting plastered during hunting season and shooting anything or anyone who makes the underbrush twitch.

We're a little more worried about some dipshit teenager who doesn't have a clue to how his brain works and only has to decide whether to go to Syria and join ISIS or stay here and be a 'lone wolf' and mow down some defenseless teenagers or better yet some completely innocent children or settle for a few hundred country music fans. Funny I never notice them attacking a gun club or a police station.

I'm kinda surprised that gun people haven't formed some kind of vigilante society to detect, monitor and stop these idiots. It must have occurred to some people at least that this can't go on. Maybe you've shut down the outrage for this season or this generation but the anger against you is getting louder and louder. Do you thinks those kids in Florida are going to forgive or forget? The longer you guys cling to your guns the more certain will come the day when people have had it. And when that day comes they really will take your guns, all of them - no matter what it takes to do it. You are in the process of becoming pariahs and soon no one will care about your precious individual rights because they will see you as threatening theirs.

You guys really need to wake up and smell the cordite.

So that's where I'm at these days about guns, I'd be interested in your thoughts...

A friend asked me...

A friend asked me about politics and said he was meeting another conservative friend and would return loaded for bear

By now I’ve had a lot of experience talking with people who have other opinions (gasp). These talks have not, for the most part, gone well. They all tend to unravel into each person talking over the other or into agreements to disagree. Nothing seems to get resolved.

I myself try to apply critical thinking to politicians, especially presidential ones. This means that I do research on them whether I like them or don’t. When I’ve finished I usually have a good idea of what they really stand for and who they really are, at least sufficient knowledge for me to support or reject them.

My criteria are:

Is this person out for power or for service?

Do they understand the importance of the Rule of Law?

Have they read and understood the Constitution and it’s time and context?

Do they understand justice and compassion?

There are more of course but these are a start.

If I don’t want to get into arguments about bullet lists, what do I want?

I want to say to people: Here these are some of the books I read and some of the people I spent time with, trying to figure things out. I had to absorb this knowledge to get to a place where I could place things in their proper perspective, identify the real players and understand their agendas. These are the tools you need to get real about things.

It took me thirty years to get to this point so don’t despair. I also don’t expect everyone to have these experiences – frankly – if you just read all of Shakespeare you could throw about 95% of this stuff out. In fact you’ll learn more about human nature than all of the other books combined.

Economics

Adam Smith

Frederic von Hayak

Milton Friedman

Joseph Steiglitz

John Galbraith (Older and younger)

Paul Krugman

Karl Marx

Thomas Piketty

Politics

Sun Tzu – Art of War

Musashi – A Book of Five Rings

Von Clausewitz

Julius Ceasar – The conquest of Gaul

Marcus Aurelius – Meditations

Thucydides

Modern Times

William Schreiber – The Rise and Fall of the Third Reich

Bruce Catton – The Civil War

The Federalist Papers

The Anti-Federalist Papers

People Whose Work You Should Know About

Oliver Wendell Holmes

Roger Taney

Benjamin Cardozo

Thurgood Marshall

William O. Douglas

Howard Zinn

People and Organizations You Should Know About So You Can Run From them in Terror

Charles Koch

Davis Koch

Fred Koch – yes, their father and the founder of the John Birch Society

Peter G. Peterson

James M. Buchanan (not the president, the economist)

The Heritage Foundation

The Cato Institute

The Fellowship – Doug Coe

The Ku Klux Klan – doing quite well thank you very much

David Duke

Jeff Sessions – remember him? He’s now US AG

A.L.E.C. – look it up

Alex Jones

Michael Savage

Rush Limbaugh (still)

Know your enemy. All war is a crime.

On the Subject of July 4th

As I often do on the 4^th I reflect on our history and, more specifically on those who have fallen in its honor. Some who think they know me may be surprised but most of the others know of my deep respect for true patriots and true honor, however earned.

Since the Vietnam War was the war of my time, I focus on that conflict and try to understand the things I can’t. Perhaps the burning flames of that conflagration concentrate my thoughts in a way nothing else might.

Let me start (and end) by saying: “All War is a Crime”, by now this must be obvious to everyone yet we go about our daily lives acting as if this was not the case… I have no answer to this, it baffles me.

I was intimately aware of the Vietnam War insofar as I was eligible for drafting to serve (having exhausted my student exemption)… I was reprieved by a high draft number and escaped. 

I did have to consider my options:

I could have claimed conscientious objector status, except that I would not have – I thought that fighting Hitler was justified, for example.

I could have gone to Canada, except that I couldn’t justify that to my parents.

I knew that if I went to Vietnam, I would die… very hard to reconcile with abject cowardice.

So I was ecstatic and grateful for the draft number that spared me from that decision. 

As a natural consequence I have been troubled by the omnipresent moral monitor who always demands an answer: did you really do the right thing? I usually buy her a drink and try to forget…

Literature abounds with books on war which constantly smack me upside the head, sometimes they make movies…

In modern times there have been two movies, no, three, that bring things to a crux for me.

Oliver Stone’s ‘Platoon’ of course, which posits they conflict of Good and Evil sergeants to limn the way before us.

The masterful Terence Malick (James Jones) movie The Thin Red Line that was buried by the usual sloppy, soppy Saving Private Ryan of schlockmeister Steven Spielberg.

But there has also been another movie made more recently of “We Were Soldiers Once and Young”. Taken from the book (memoir) of the first real battle between the North Vietnam regulars and the US regular forces.

I need to stop here and say a few things:

First rant

I think Mel Gibson is a decent actor, not great, not horrible but pretty good within his limited range. I don’t begrudge him the money he has made Hollywood and good looks being what they are. But I do take exception to his truly awful personal beliefs. I don’t mind that he’s some kind of weird Christian fanatic but I do mind his faith-based opinions of others – I’m sure you’ve heard them many times over. And actually I don’t even mind that he has those beliefs: just shut the fuck up about them, please? Then we can all get along quite nicely.

Second rant

I generally like war movies and action movies in a desultory way. They while away the time and display manly men doing manly things in a manly way… they go well with popcorn. But I do get annoyed by the laziness of directors I guess. Almost always the battle scenes are just two groups of soldiers screaming and running at each other, seemingly with no battle plan thought out, no tactics or strategy. I realize that the 10,000 ft view can’t be detailed and that no plan survives contact with the enemy but it annoys me that there’s only chaos in view.

Rants over, thank you for listening.

We Were Soldiers… is a memoir by retired Lieutenant Colonel Hal Moore and Joseph Galloway (the journalist at the battle).  It is a remarkable retelling of that battle at La Drang that went on for three days in November of 1965.

The movie is also remarkable, showing the tactics of both LtColonel Moore and North Vietnamese commander Nguyen Huu An. Attack and counterattack, backup plans and swift response to unexpected situations. And also showing the gritty reality of the battle itself.

Technically speaking the Americans were outnumbered 4 to 1 but they had far superior cavalry and aircover and were able to beat back NVA assaults. There is of course the irony of the ending when, having driven the NVA out of La Drang valley, they leave only to have the NVA forces immediately return.

As good a performance by Gibson as he could manage and Sam Elliot’s turn as the crusty Sgt Major is epic.

In its own way it is an anti-war movie in that it shows the senselessness and futility that all wars exhibit but it is also a showing of respect and honor for those who fought and those who fell.

Well done and a credit to all involved especially Moore and Galloway, it’s one of those things we can invoke on fourths of July.

  

   

An Open Letter to the Democratic Party

I’ve listening for months now to all the various pundits/partisans/prophets and fools giving their weighty opinions about why the Democrats lost the 2016 election.

It’s all self-deluded bullshit.

There are two main reasons the Democrats lost and until they fix those reasons they will continue to lose.

1^st: They didn’t do the work.

2^nd: They forgot who their base was, and is.

When I (or any rational observer) look out over the last forty years in the political arena, there is a glaring discrepancy. On the one side you have the Republicans: marching in lockstep down their road to hell, completely governed by their party leaders and speaking from an approved script. They have assiduously gathered together to overwhelm school board meetings, attack town councils, raise candidates for state legislatures – over and over and over again – until they win and win and win again. Where has there been opposition? Where are the Democratic candidates supported by ground pounding cadres ceaselessly turning out the vote? Answer: [crickets]

And we’re surprised to find out that the south and the middle of the country are solidly Republican? 

Let’s face it: the Democrats blew it simply by being disorganized and feckless. They blew it in 1968 when they let Jerry Rubin and Abbie Hoffman run wild in the streets of Chicago. Anyone who saw that had an instant reaction; “There’s no way I want those morons in charge of the country.” And so we got Nixon. The original Mad King.

Notice that every so-called Democratic candidate thereafter was deemed an irrelevant sideshow.

And they were because the Democrats never woke up to the fact that they had to DO THE WORK of building a base that was respected and feared in the political world, they needed to fight for every school board seat, every town council member, every state legislator in order to prevent what happened: Republican control of the state houses and therefor control of drawing the congressional district maps after the census, i.e., gerrymandering, which gave them control of the House.  

Yes, the Republicans were aided by very smart people who crafted and plotted this insurrection and developed the propaganda and misinformation that guided the victory they achieved. It’s all true but it’s irrelevant The Republicans only won because the Democrats didn’t enter the field.

The crux of the situation is that the Republicans knew they were in a war and the Democrats never figured it out… stupid.

Stupid, which is also an apt word for the second reason the Democrats lost (and will continue to lose until they figure it out).

Who are (and were) the Democratic base?

Well nobody really knows do they? Let’s see: there are the Blacks and the Hispanics and the Women and the Indians and the LGBTQ people and the… whatever…

Notice anything odd about this list? No? Well I’ll tell you this one time: there are no white people. Sounds racist doesn’t it? It does sound racist until you go back and look at the history of the Democrats: from its founding the bedrock of the Democratic party has always been the unions: which have been almost exclusively poor blue collar white folks. The Democratic party’s bulwark has been the cadres of union members who could be reliably turned out for rallies, demonstrations… and voting.  

But not after Chicago 1968, then the party was more and more given over to interest groups and not to party unity. In part the Democrats were victims: the Mafia had so completely taken over the unions that no self-respecting pol wanted anything to do with them fearing, rightly, that they would soon be compromised and used as tools for mob enrichment.

Nevertheless, unions continued to dwindle and the Democrats continued to suffer the consequences.

So the Democratic party became, more and more, a collection of special interest groups. There’s nothing wrong with this per se, but special interest groups in general have an agenda: the welfare and benefit of their particular group. There’s nothing in their lexicon about ‘cooperation’. In the old days, the democrats could fall back on the unions to be the organizing drivers for the party and they would drag all the disparate factions along for the ride but that doesn’t work anymore. 

This time around we had the so-called ‘progressives’ (yet another faction) who, imo, knew they would lose and just did as much damage as they could (turned out to be quite a bit). And of course there was the hilariously boneheaded Black Lives Matter who apparently could only think of one target for their ire and showed up to hijack one of their own candidate’s rallies, instead of confronting a Republican rally  - I guess that was too hard.

So every little splinter group had their own agenda and none of them was prepared to even listen to any of the others… the results were predictable.

If the Democrats ever want to have political power again they need to remedy the two areas mentioned above. It won’t be quick and it won’t be easy, indeed. It may already be too late. But going along the way they doing now will only lead to more losing.